It would prevent two great civilizations from benefiting from each other’s strengths and contributions. It would likely foment ethnic stereotyping, discrimination, and hatred.
It would build walls between economies, scientists, scholars, and ordinary people. It would fracture the international community on issues on which there should otherwise be widespread cooperation. A cold war would begin with radical decoupling and disengagement, which regrettably we are already seeing. Or the relationship could degenerate into a cold war, which would be in the interest of neither the United States nor China.Ī U.S.-China cold war would not be like the U.S.-Soviet one, which was largely military and ideological. There could instead be strategic rivalry, which would be more adversarial and require cool heads to manage disputes. The basic framework for the relationship going forward is likely to be strategic competition, with cooperation in discrete areas, hopefully covering many subjects. They can and must be managed through dialogue, but we can’t pretend that we simply have a communications problem. The differences between the United States and China on political, economic, ideological, technological, and security issues are real.
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